i think i have it now.
you feel confident of data after three years of results. congratulations. everyone has 100% hindsight.
if you were my manager in-game, and a situation arose, you would be unable to make a move. not enough data. but maybe you would PH a guy with a .300 career AVG. but what you would NOT know is that he was just starting a three-year period of decline in which he would bat only .200, so you would have to wait until THOSE three years were up, too.
meanwhile, i need to send someone up to bat. ME? the hottest hand right now. that is who i would send up.
2 for 3? fluke. anything can happen in three ABs.
5 for 10? pretty good, but still a fluke. doesn't tell me much at all.
9 for 21? well, now this is interesting. 21 at bats is about a week of games, and nine hits is pretty good.
19 for 50? well, 50 at bats is nearly 10% of a season's worth of at bats. and this guy is clearly grabbing hits right now. this is a hot bat. i would definitely use him as a PH.
you? um...nobody.
this is all kind of unfair to you, as you do not know the daily goings on of the roster. like pooshemup skarda. terrible recent performance despite adequate power numbers. dear negrete has been awful, too. muggsy leclair looks cool with those homers, but he hasn't done anything since april. hence my desperation and desire to give ANYBODY who can hit a shot at doing so.
Basic Batting Stats Report - Split: Overall
if you want to manage my team, you had better do more than tell me what you would've done three years ago with the knowledge you have today. i need to send someone up NOW.
