Quote:
Originally Posted by treedom
Hey guys. I'm looking for some help. I'll go into a bit more depth below, but basically the heart of my question is, how do I avoid the downward offensive drift I'm seeing in my fictional league? Please see screenshot, which shows the league ERA and AVG going down gradually over the span of 18 seasons.
I know it's something to do with the "League Totals", but they kind of confuse me. I tried reading the manual first and it says:
So about that last sentence, it's not what I'm seeing. My league totals are the exact same as those entered when I created the league. (I based them on the 1985 season using the dropdown.) Did I forget to change a setting?
Anyway, the manual goes on to recommend that I use the "Modifiers" in the right column. Okay, fair enough, except...given that the values in "League Totals" never changed, but the actual output of the engine seems to be drifting, I'm not sure what the modifiers are applied against. Are they applied against last year's stats or against the static "League Totals" from 1985 I still have there?
The way I see it, there's a distinction there. Say I have modified HRs to be 10% more. Is that a one-time bump, or will they go up by 10% every season if I leave that modifier there?
Anyway, I'm even confusing myself as I write this. I'm probably just overthinking it. Please help me see straight. |
I think that if you want the league totals from 1985 to work you need to apply them the day before Opening Day every year. What I mean by this is that you should select 1985 in the drop down menu every year, or if your input year is always set to 1985, hit auto-calc the day before the season starts. That's what I do, and I use 1984 which is pretty similar. I've done this with a random debut historical league that has run from 1901 through 1941 and the outputs I get are very reasonable to the point where the MLB AVG and ERA are very close to what they were in 1984 when you look at the 41 seasons and average it out. They can vary quite a bit from season to season, but they average out to within a point of the 1984 AVG (.260) and 1984 ERA (3.81) last I checked. I don't know if it makes a difference that yours is fictional and mine is historical because I've never really played fictional.
I'd also be careful about messing around with modifiers too much because you may get more of a change than you're looking for in the opposite direction, which may bother you just as much. It's a fine line with these things. I've come around to just selecting 1984 in the drop down the day before Opening Day and letting the chips fall where they may. Hope this helps.