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yeah, think of those as an in-the-moment evaluation... it could change the next week (whenever that updates it could change).
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i would suggest controlling your "Top" prospects. you can do this through Player Strategies page (tab of team strategy page). you can 'lock' them to current league and manually move them as you see fit. the higher the threshold of what a top prospect is, the less work and involvement required from you... on a 80pt scale, i only pay close attnetion to 61+ rated batters and RP, but i do look at SP that are rated as low as the 40's.
just make some sort of consistent system... for example, i review my top prospects after spring training, after the draft since i am adding amatuers to the system anyway, then possibly 1 more time during the season if i see a "Top" prospect that is a borderline promotion after the draft (the arrows can sometimes help you notice this borderline guy). also, be willing to make exceptions to whatever system of rules you develop to control promotions, but only for tangible reasons, not guy feelings. time involved? with my thresholds given above, i spend 5mins each time i look over my minors... it's not a large time-sink once you know exactly how you want to do it.
if you have ratings on and they are at least 30-40% of the AI Eval and normal scouting, trust the ratings... if they are rated well enough to be at that tier, they are fine regardless of the arrows. minor league stats are so weakly correlated with mlb success... it's difficult to rationalize their use in any meaningful way... i'd mostly look for extreme outliers on each side... like hitting sub .200 and 2k's per game type bade...
i've seen a career .200 minor leaguer go on to be a hall of fame batter... it happens quite often in my experience. rarely do i see minor league careers mirror future mlb success... they simply aren't the same player. their ratings distribution with be wildly different.
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