OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post

bigyunit · 07-09-2015, 03:00 PM

After winning the AL West in my 2017 season with the Mariners, my hitting coach's contract expired and he refused to re-sign me. I hired a new hitting coach for 2018 and acquired two new players - a 26 year old rightfielder who was the NL MVP in 2016, and a 28 year old catcher with a .284 career average. Both significant offensive upgrades. Otherwise my offense was the same.

Through 70 games in 2018, my offense has absolutely imploded. After about 50 games I fired my new hitting coach and tried someone else, but it didn't seem to make much difference.

I should add that only one player, my 3B, really had a career year in 2017. Everyone else was pretty in line with their career numbers. The difference seems to like in BABIP. Several of my guys seemed to get pretty lucky last season, and now every single one of them seems to be extremely unlucky.

Is this an automatic correction? Should I expect this trend to continue the rest of this season, leading nearly my entire team to have career worst seasons, when many should be in their primes?

Here's the drop for each of my 9 starters, with ages, slash lines and BABIP (The average BABIP for these guys in 2017 was .317 - through 70 games in 2018 its down more than 50 pts to .261):

2B (25 yo) -

2017: .259/.346/.353 (BABIP: .290)
2018: .285/.367.430 (BABIP: .310)

SS (28 yo) -

2017: .315/.374/.505 (BABIP: .344)
2018: .201/.267/.304 (BABIP: .242)

3B (28 yo) -

2017: .307/.365/.527 (BABIP: .334)
2018: .243/.312/.407 (BABIP: .261)
(Also on pace for 12 doubles, after hitting 44 in 2017)

1B (28 yo) -

2017: .306/.375/.474 (BABIP: .352)
2018: .201/.260/.382 (BABIP: .214)

RF (26 yo) -

2017: .294/.393/.583 (BABIP: .326)
2018: .225/.286/.418 (BABIP: .260)
(2017 in Wrigley, 2018 in Safeco)

LF (34 yo) -

2017: .268/.361/.434 (BABIP: .332)
2018: .250/.325/.444 (BABIP: .268)

DH (28 yo) -

2017: .255/.313/.425 (BABIP: 304)
2018: .252/.308/.424 (BABIP: .295)

C (28 yo) -

2017: .279/.324/.404 (BABIP: .295)
2018: .229/.267/.364 (BABIP: .228)
(2017 in Kaufman, 2018 in Safeco)

CF (27 yo) -

2017: .247/.364/.316 (BABIP: .284)
2018: .251/.317/.344 (BABIP: .278)

07-09-2015, 03:00 PM	#1
bigyunit Bat Boy Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 18	BABIP Correcting season over season? After winning the AL West in my 2017 season with the Mariners, my hitting coach's contract expired and he refused to re-sign me. I hired a new hitting coach for 2018 and acquired two new players - a 26 year old rightfielder who was the NL MVP in 2016, and a 28 year old catcher with a .284 career average. Both significant offensive upgrades. Otherwise my offense was the same. Through 70 games in 2018, my offense has absolutely imploded. After about 50 games I fired my new hitting coach and tried someone else, but it didn't seem to make much difference. I should add that only one player, my 3B, really had a career year in 2017. Everyone else was pretty in line with their career numbers. The difference seems to like in BABIP. Several of my guys seemed to get pretty lucky last season, and now every single one of them seems to be extremely unlucky. Is this an automatic correction? Should I expect this trend to continue the rest of this season, leading nearly my entire team to have career worst seasons, when many should be in their primes? Here's the drop for each of my 9 starters, with ages, slash lines and BABIP (The average BABIP for these guys in 2017 was .317 - through 70 games in 2018 its down more than 50 pts to .261): 2B (25 yo) - 2017: .259/.346/.353 (BABIP: .290) 2018: .285/.367.430 (BABIP: .310) SS (28 yo) - 2017: .315/.374/.505 (BABIP: .344) 2018: .201/.267/.304 (BABIP: .242) 3B (28 yo) - 2017: .307/.365/.527 (BABIP: .334) 2018: .243/.312/.407 (BABIP: .261) (Also on pace for 12 doubles, after hitting 44 in 2017) 1B (28 yo) - 2017: .306/.375/.474 (BABIP: .352) 2018: .201/.260/.382 (BABIP: .214) RF (26 yo) - 2017: .294/.393/.583 (BABIP: .326) 2018: .225/.286/.418 (BABIP: .260) (2017 in Wrigley, 2018 in Safeco) LF (34 yo) - 2017: .268/.361/.434 (BABIP: .332) 2018: .250/.325/.444 (BABIP: .268) DH (28 yo) - 2017: .255/.313/.425 (BABIP: 304) 2018: .252/.308/.424 (BABIP: .295) C (28 yo) - 2017: .279/.324/.404 (BABIP: .295) 2018: .229/.267/.364 (BABIP: .228) (2017 in Kaufman, 2018 in Safeco) CF (27 yo) - 2017: .247/.364/.316 (BABIP: .284) 2018: .251/.317/.344 (BABIP: .278)