Quote:
Originally Posted by ForeverRoyalKC
Thanks for the friendly jab, RchW. Seriously, first I havent messed with any of the settings (that shows the 1923 year above) like that. Secondly, I watched the Twins and Mariners just before the Royals / Astros and the Mariners went up 5-0 in the top of the first. I KNOW, I am aware how baseball is and works and that many times, a team or teams score first. I fully understand that. I am a huge baseball fan. But when I have the numbers I just gave you, I think something is off. The video game I refer to is more realistic than this.
I will keep playing and keep trying and see what happens, but I hope someone will agree with me if I get another six out of almost forty games where it's three up and three down!
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that link above to the line graph only showed the percent of runs scored in the first relative to all other runs scored during a game. it was not a percent chance of a run scoring. it just shows that a larger than proportional amount of runs score in the first inning. more than any other inning.
looking at one team's results is not ideal. just look at the spread in 2015 so far:
https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/sta...red-percentage
if you have an excellent team, you can expect it to happen 35-40% of the time just for your team.
this guy explains why the nl 'seems' to score more in the first, but it is an illusion:
Scoring by inning: AL vs NL (PART 1) » Baseball-Reference Blog » Blog Archive
i'm having a tough time finding a calculated figure. but it's likely the probability roughly 50% of the time that one team or the other scores in the first inning.