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Spritze · 05-24-2015, 03:40 PM

Partially due to a short porch in Minneapolis that would not allow space for a decent sized rocking chair Joe hit 69 HR's in 1933.

Currently the MLE's put him at 60 since the overall league average was 12 in that year.

BUT

Personal Park Factor...........
I just added formulas that would compare the HR's Joe hit to the other players on his team (avg 27) and what the other players in the league hit in Minneapolis (avg 20). Making these adjustments would lower his MLE HR's to 37 (if I leave his own 69 HR's in the averages) or 43 (if I don't count what he contributed hisownself). BTW his MLE doubles went up and his outs made as well using this new formula which makes pretty much sense I think. A few of his HR's got caught by the RF'er and some of them turned into doubles. K's and walks would stay the same I think.

If I make the change to adjust MLE's by team (to account for park influences) as well as league, I'd do it for the stats that a park could effect, pretty much the things that make up slugging pct for and against on both the pitching and the hitting side.

I chose Joe for this example as he is the most extreme sample I could think of. I also used Jim Baxes and his years in Hollywood as a sample as well as several others.

Implement or not?

Better ideas?

05-24-2015, 03:40 PM	#710
Spritze OOTP Historical Czar Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: Bothell Wa Posts: 7,253	Joe Hauser (For Instance) Partially due to a short porch in Minneapolis that would not allow space for a decent sized rocking chair Joe hit 69 HR's in 1933. Currently the MLE's put him at 60 since the overall league average was 12 in that year. BUT Personal Park Factor........... I just added formulas that would compare the HR's Joe hit to the other players on his team (avg 27) and what the other players in the league hit in Minneapolis (avg 20). Making these adjustments would lower his MLE HR's to 37 (if I leave his own 69 HR's in the averages) or 43 (if I don't count what he contributed hisownself). BTW his MLE doubles went up and his outs made as well using this new formula which makes pretty much sense I think. A few of his HR's got caught by the RF'er and some of them turned into doubles. K's and walks would stay the same I think. If I make the change to adjust MLE's by team (to account for park influences) as well as league, I'd do it for the stats that a park could effect, pretty much the things that make up slugging pct for and against on both the pitching and the hitting side. I chose Joe for this example as he is the most extreme sample I could think of. I also used Jim Baxes and his years in Hollywood as a sample as well as several others. Implement or not? Better ideas? __________________ It's madness, madness, I tell you! For the love of God, don't do it! Last edited by Spritze; 05-24-2015 at 08:10 PM.