Quote:
Originally Posted by voxpoptart
This is certainly not just a bug. It has been a feature of the game's system at least since OOTP4, and into the present day, that a young major league player is significantly more likely to go way downhill than a similar player in his mid-to-late 20s.
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Which is exactly realistic. The Oakland A's using "moneyball" noted this and started drafting college players. It is very apparent looking at the data that tons of 5 tool high school prospects have crashed and burned since the draft started. College players simply fare better in getting to the minors and the scouted potential being closer to what actually happens.
College shows if a player has the maturity and work ethic to develop the skills beyond talent. This just isn't baseball. How many 4 and 5 star college football recruits flop when natural athleticism is no longer enough to overpower their opposition?
In the history of the draft years high school players (very young players) are more likely not to develop the scouted potential than college players. For many the jump is just way too big for their maturity level. The vast majority would be better off getting a scholarship if they can clear NCAA rules and developing the maturity and work ethic needed for the long haul to the bigs vs. getting in the draft right out of HS. In college they can redshirt a year to learn what kind of work it is going to take to make the team. In the minors they don't get that luxury.