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injury log · 05-21-2014, 06:56 PM

Well obviously you'll find way, way more DL assignments in March/April, because all the players with 12 month injuries from the previous year need to be placed back on the DL then (the DL doesn't exist in the offseason), and a lot of 40-man guys who are injured in Spring Training have to be placed on the big league DL, even though they'd be minor leaguers during the regular season and would go on the minor league DL then. And in September, teams often don't need to place players on the 15-day DL at all, because they don't need to free up active roster spots once rosters expand to 40 players on Sept 1. A guy out for 9 days in April is much more likely to end up on the DL than a guy out for 9 days in September.

If you're studying DL assignments, you're learning more about how MLB teams use the DL than you are about injury frequency. It is, from my understanding looking at actual injury data, true that injury frequency is higher in April than in September, but studying DL usage will greatly overestimate the discrepancy between those two times of year. It is also true that OOTP does not model that phenomenon at the moment. On beta the last couple of years, I've requested the injury model be changed to reflect variable injury frequency during the year, and I expect it will be at some point fairly soon (meaning in a patch, in v16 or in v17). There are millions of little things like this that would be nice to see in the game, and unfortunately only a finite amount of time for Markus to code them, but he does seem to get to all of this kind of stuff eventually.

05-21-2014, 06:56 PM	#5
injury log Hall Of Famer Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 9,162	Well obviously you'll find way, way more DL assignments in March/April, because all the players with 12 month injuries from the previous year need to be placed back on the DL then (the DL doesn't exist in the offseason), and a lot of 40-man guys who are injured in Spring Training have to be placed on the big league DL, even though they'd be minor leaguers during the regular season and would go on the minor league DL then. And in September, teams often don't need to place players on the 15-day DL at all, because they don't need to free up active roster spots once rosters expand to 40 players on Sept 1. A guy out for 9 days in April is much more likely to end up on the DL than a guy out for 9 days in September. If you're studying DL assignments, you're learning more about how MLB teams use the DL than you are about injury frequency. It is, from my understanding looking at actual injury data, true that injury frequency is higher in April than in September, but studying DL usage will greatly overestimate the discrepancy between those two times of year. It is also true that OOTP does not model that phenomenon at the moment. On beta the last couple of years, I've requested the injury model be changed to reflect variable injury frequency during the year, and I expect it will be at some point fairly soon (meaning in a patch, in v16 or in v17). There are millions of little things like this that would be nice to see in the game, and unfortunately only a finite amount of time for Markus to code them, but he does seem to get to all of this kind of stuff eventually. Last edited by injury log; 05-21-2014 at 06:59 PM.