Quote:
Originally Posted by saturn2187
Two pitchers, similar ratings - one rated 1 star potential, the other 2.5 potential.
Take a look.
Pitcher A potential- Stuff 4, Movement 7, Control 6, Stamina 9, hold 8, g/f .57
Pitcher B potential- Stuff 4, Movement 7, Control 6, Stamina 9, hold 6, g/f .46
Pitcher A identical ratings, advantage in hold runners. Overall ratings 1 star, getting rocked in AAA (1-2, 5.65 ERA)
Pitcher B same ratings, a bit less at holding runners. Overall rating 2.5, dominating majors (10-5, 3.67)
The reason I'm asking this is because I made up a spreadsheet where I insert component ratings and get a score. This will be used in free agency to decide who to pursue. That plan can go out the window with these results.
Player A link: Player Report for #43 Dennis Rasmussen
Player B link: Player Report for #32 Jaime Navarro
Your thoughts?
Thanks |
There are several factors I see here, first you list potentials in your post but that's apples/oranges because Rasmussen is 31 and his potential probably doesn't mean much as he's either at the peak of that potential or even on the downside. Navarro is 23 so he just reached his potential. Currents are 4-6-6 vs. 4-7-6, not a big difference but again that's on a small scale it could be more on say a 100 point scale and that movement difference could be a major influence.
Looking at the current ratings for each guy Rasmussen only has three pitches, one of which is a changeup rated a 3. Navarro has four pitches all 4's and 5's.
As for Rasmussen getting rocked in Triple A as you put it he only had one bad game, the 8-5 loss that he only went 4 2/3 innings. His other two appearances he went 7 and lost 3-2 and went 2 2/3 in relief. He's pitched a grand total of 14 innings so small sample. Just look at Navarro in 18 spring training innings, an 8.84 era so again small sample.
I would be cautious about Navarro also because that 3.67 era and 10-5 record seems a little better then his stats would suggest so I might think he has a good D behind him or he's been lucky.
He is trending down though as he had a 3.50 era in April, May and June but jumped to over 4 in July and over 5 in the previous week.