[rpriske]

Oh, I am not trying to imply that OOTP is wrong. What I am saying is that I am trying to figure out how to optimize by base running decisions.

I don't want to run in situations where my odds are less than 75%... but I can't figure out who to calculate that.

In strat, you have a safe range that tells mw what I need to know. What I was trying to figure out was that same thing. Apparently there is no such thing... but that doesn't really make sense to me. If a scout tells me that a particular runner is a 15 stealer, what does that mean? How likely is he to be safe. If they tell me that a catcher is a 9 arm, how does that affect the odds of that runner being safe? What about the hold rating.

Apparently this ISN'T a equation that can be answered... and to me THAT is a failing of the game. We should be able to know what the ratings MEAN.