See my post in an older thread regarding SB. Several hypotheses come to mind:
That OOTP cannot necessarily produce the same distribution of base/out states as real life that call for a steal, and that have a very good base stealer on base.
The exact combination of player attributes that produces real life SB leaders like Ellesbury, Bourn, Reyes, Gardner, Crisp et al may not work the same way in OOTP. We know that the AI may choose a better batter which will reduce the PA of a potentially superior base stealer.
Since league totals drive the output, stolen bases are distributed amongst more players with the best having slightly less than real life.
I'm not sure that this could be fixed. When you consider the number of variables involved it's astounding just how well OOTP does.
Quote:
Originally Posted by RchW
Adjusting league wide stolen base attempts and success rates is very easy in OOTP. It's probably one of the most stable stat outputs from year to year. Just have your Commish look at the league total modifiers vs the previous year stat output.
Getting individual players rates up to the 90% mark is a little more challenging for OOTP as replicating the exact talent distribution as RL baseball must be difficult within the wide range of settings available in-game. The distribution of SB in OOTP is wider than RL ie more players have a few SB and the leaders have slightly less than RL. Over the last 9 seasons the average success rate of the SB leader is 84%. IRL there are players every year who get into the high 90% often 100% rate but they are opportunists like Jeter or Pedroia not leading base stealers like Ellsbury. It doesn't surprise me that a ratings based game has trouble with this.
OOTP may not produce the same set of base out states as real life baseball. It could be as simple as the the conditions for individual players to steal successfully do not occur at the same rate in each game in OOTP. That being said I get success rates in the 83%-88% for the top 5-6 in SB which matches the RL average above.
See the comparison below.
My fictional 2063 season.
2650 SB 1019 CS 72.8% success rate. Top individual SB% 83-88.
Projected 2013 MLB (20% left in season).
2666 SB 1010 CS 72.5% success rate. Top individual SB% for SB leaders 90-92.
Can't get much better than that.
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