Quote:
Originally Posted by slugga27
I swear I read somewhere last year that how the pre-season predictions are determined is as follows:
The simulation engine does a quick simulation of the season three times, with injuries, transactions, etc. turned off and then averages the results to spit out the prediction.
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The engine does 3 sims to figure out the modifiers. The prediction sim is a completely different sim and I think it is only run once, not 3 times.
And as another poster mentioned earlier the odd usage results (starters pitching in 80 games or the like) is because the prediction sim uses whatever is set up in the lineups and depth charts and pitching staffs setups....if nothing is there, weird stuff happens. Also injuries are turned off for the run and possibly fatigue as well, but not sure about that. Though it would explain observed behavior of over usage of pitchers.