OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Players swinging on 3-0 counts: managing in one pitch mode

RchW · 09-01-2013, 01:36 PM

I'm still researching this but the problem is that OOTP is generating too many 3-0 counts vs RL MLB. My sample size is still too small to be definitive but it appears that OOTP is generating just over 3 X 3-0 counts per game. This season in MLB the average is 1.58. I just tracked the last two days on BR and got 47 in 30 games played which is 1.57.

So far it seems that IRL MLB players swing at about 7.5% of 3-0 counts and in my MLB fictional league they swing at 9.2% of 3-0 counts. That alone is not a huge difference but given that the 3-0 rate in OOTP is almost double it's easy to see why one would perceive they swing too often.

I'll check some other RL seasons to see if the rate of 3-0 counts and the swing rate change significantly. If anyone is interested in helping with data try reading about 10 OOTP game logs and tracking how many 3-0 counts you get.

Edit

Swinging on a 3-0 count does happen IRL even in critical situations. See Jayson Werth below. So far this year there have been 240 AB at 3-0, most (all?) of them swings. The results

H 86
HR 22
GDP 6
SH 1
SF 7
ROE 3

09-01-2013, 01:36 PM	#8
RchW Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: Toronto ON by way of Glasgow UK Posts: 15,629	I'm still researching this but the problem is that OOTP is generating too many 3-0 counts vs RL MLB. My sample size is still too small to be definitive but it appears that OOTP is generating just over 3 X 3-0 counts per game. This season in MLB the average is 1.58. I just tracked the last two days on BR and got 47 in 30 games played which is 1.57. So far it seems that IRL MLB players swing at about 7.5% of 3-0 counts and in my MLB fictional league they swing at 9.2% of 3-0 counts. That alone is not a huge difference but given that the 3-0 rate in OOTP is almost double it's easy to see why one would perceive they swing too often. I'll check some other RL seasons to see if the rate of 3-0 counts and the swing rate change significantly. If anyone is interested in helping with data try reading about 10 OOTP game logs and tracking how many 3-0 counts you get. Edit Swinging on a 3-0 count does happen IRL even in critical situations. See Jayson Werth below. So far this year there have been 240 AB at 3-0, most (all?) of them swings. The results H 86 HR 22 GDP 6 SH 1 SF 7 ROE 3 Attached Images __________________ Cheers RichW If you’re looking for a good cause to donate money to please consider a Donation to Parkinson’s Canada. It may help me have a better future and if not me, someone else. Thanks. “Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition …There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect.” Frank Wilhoit Last edited by RchW; 09-01-2013 at 02:03 PM. Reason: added info