Quote:
Originally Posted by Nunyer
In my fictional league, using one-pitch mode, I see a lot of players swinging at 3-0... which traditionally should be an automatic take. Typically this is when I will take the first pitch, and then follow that up with "swing away". Then the one-pitch mode kicks in and whatever else happens in that AB plays out... But why oh why do they ever swing at 3-0? Is my "swing away" order at the 1-0 or 0-1 count overriding baseball common sense later in the count?
This doesn't happen at EVERY 3-0 count... but it is a hair-puller whenever I see it. Has anybody else experienced this? If so, is there a way to mitigate it from happening?
EDIT: Just for the record, it seems that the CPU teams swing away at a similar rate on 3-0 counts as well... so it's not that I'm trying to frame this as the game giving me the shaft.
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How many 3-0 counts are you seeing? Unless I'm misreading the data 3-0 counts are rare. It's happened 3118 times in 3990 games this year. Astoundingly it's only happened at all in 51% (2064) of games this year. I find that to be much less than my perceived occurrence.
So far this year 8% of 3-0 counts have produced a swing. That's approximately 1 in 12 occurrences. At a rate of 0.78/game that means you'd need 15.4 games to see 12X3-0 counts for which you should see 1 swing. You must be playing lots of games or else you have very high swing rates as you suggest.
See the table from BR.
Code:
G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR SB CS BB SO SO/BB BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
First Pitch 3949 16861 15853 2843 5357 1041 107 668 568 226 0 0 .338 .343 .543 .887 8616 542 235 560 213 0 192 .305 144 100
1-0 Count 3722 10483 10174 1791 3394 697 71 440 268 101 0 0 .334 .334 .546 .880 5553 354 63 125 119 0 117 .300 142 100
2-0 Count 2524 3810 3715 734 1227 273 21 198 92 25 0 0 .330 .330 .575 .905 2136 102 23 23 49 0 52 .289 148 100
3-0 Count 2064 3118 233 131 83 22 2 22 19 4 2873 0 0.00 .356 .950 .751 1.701 175 6 4 1 7 817 3 .280 387 100
0-1 Count 3873 13882 13355 1795 4142 769 56 366 259 98 0 0 .310 .318 .458 .776 6121 442 207 207 107 0 158 .288 115 100
1-1 Count 3847 13225 12868 1949 4220 839 61 435 257 84 0 0 .328 .331 .504 .835 6486 369 118 113 125 0 170 .301 131 100
2-1 Count 3437 7845 7708 1308 2703 562 61 363 100 48 0 0 .351 .352 .581 .932 4476 209 43 32 60 0 69 .316 157 100
3-1 Count 3187 6737 3225 697 1112 244 20 224 29 22 3449 0 0.00 .345 .680 .641 1.321 2068 91 11 11 41 36 32 .292 275 100
0-2 Count 3840 13314 13088 817 1996 348 40 135 151 40 0 6511 .153 .161 .216 .377 2829 203 142 28 55 0 92 .286 5 100
1-2 Count 3981 22234 21893 1547 3667 638 54 304 178 50 0 9938 .167 .175 .243 .419 5325 303 229 26 85 0 167 .287 16 100
2-2 Count 3973 20981 20718 1603 3746 709 76 375 147 36 1 8767 8767.00 .181 .186 .277 .463 5732 302 163 11 85 0 167 .289 28 100
Full Count 3960 19451 13639 1528 2980 597 67 350 123 92 5688 4755 0.84 .218 .448 .349 .797 4761 140 44 3 71 2 99 .306 129 100
After 1-0 3990 60315 50439 6922 13613 2740 263 1690 8801 9438 1.07 .270 .379 .435 .815 21949 1158 375 252 438 833 487 .300 128 100
After 2-0 3962 21016 14491 2279 4065 832 71 566 6271 2409 0.38 .281 .496 .465 .961 6737 327 75 44 134 822 140 .300 173 100
After 3-0 3213 7045 2552 488 736 165 8 118 4456 447 0.10 .288 .739 .498 1.237 1271 57 8 8 21 818 20 .308 258 100
After 0-1 3990 74765 70177 6773 15657 2958 266 1522 3210 20533 6.40 .223 .263 .338 .600 23713 1363 672 328 366 22 639 .292 68 100
After 1-1 3990 59693 53793 5829 12856 2530 244 1407 4955 14475 2.92 .239 .307 .374 .680 20095 980 443 168 323 33 483 .299 90 100
After 2-1 3990 30830 25120 3141 6407 1287 140 803 5347 6026 1.13 .255 .387 .413 .800 10383 475 144 45 166 36 194 .304 125 100
After 3-1 3792 12648 7311 1163 2003 417 37 320 5240 1402 0.27 .274 .575 .472 1.047 3454 138 22 12 62 36 57 .298 199 100
After 0-2 3988 30006 28803 2066 4813 870 87 433 785 13087 16.67 .167 .195 .248 .444 7156 418 259 36 121 0 228 .284 24 100
After 1-2 3990 42491 39744 3104 7148 1320 132 717 2208 16987 7.69 .180 .228 .274 .502 10883 519 342 31 162 1 323 .290 40 100
After 2-2 3990 34521 30271 2638 5835 1133 126 629 3898 12120 3.11 .193 .288 .301 .589 9107 395 196 13 135 2 241 .295 66 100
Zero Balls 3990 44057 42296 5455 11495 2158 203 1169 978 364 0 6511 .272 .279 .415 .695 17566 1187 584 795 375 0 442 .295 92 100
Zero Strikes 3987 34272 29975 5499 10061 2033 201 1328 947 356 2873 0 0.00 .336 .395 .550 .945 16480 1004 325 709 388 817 364 .301 162 100
Three Balls 3985 29306 17097 2356 4175 863 89 596 171 118 12010 4755 0.40 .244 .555 .410 .964 7004 237 59 15 119 855 134 .302 178 100
Two Strikes 3990 75980 69338 5495 12389 2292 237 1164 599 218 5689 29971 5.27 .179 .246 .269 .515 18647 948 578 68 296 2 525 .292 45 100
Batter Ahead 3990 51444 38694 6189 11499 2395 242 1597 631 292 12010 4755 0.40 .297 .462 .495 .958 19169 902 188 195 347 855 372 .303 170 100
Even Count 3990 51067 49439 6395 13323 2589 244 1478 972 346 1 8767 8767.00 .269 .275 .421 .696 20834 1213 516 684 423 0 529 .299 92 100
Pitcher Ahead 3990 49430 48336 4159 9805 1755 150 805 588 188 0 16449 .203 .211 .295 .507 14275 948 578 261 247 0 417 .287 40 100