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Thoughts and Chart
This last class was the biggest ever. It was based on the 11 player entries in 1946. The expected number of entrants was 9. The deviation from the expected number is desired by the designer (me) as it adds unpredictability to the model.
The Class of 1937 was based on 7 entries. There was one entrant, that year. That deviation from history did cause a deviation in the Hall, here. The standards were very high, and many players were passed over because of this. The strongest will eventually get in.
Had the class of 2044 been another lower than expected number, this would have had a ripple effect throughout the life of the Hall. That 16 players entered in 2044, the Hall has regressed back to something that will look more like RL. 1946 saw the entries of Tinker, Evers and Chance. Certainly fine players, but they probably received enshrinement due to a poem.
Looking at the 2044 inductees, one could argue that McCormick and Galvin aren't HOF material. But the HOF has guys in it that aren't Ruth and Aaron and Mathewson and Young.
I want these types of entries to be generated (McCormick and Galvin) because it gives the Hall a more 'authentic' feel.
Prior to the 2044 class, the mean GC was 4.8. After the class of 2044 was inducted, the mean GC is 4.2 (much closer to the RL mean of 4.0). Of the 16 entrants, only Chipper Jones had a GC over 4.8.
The chart shows that the 'floor' is now along the 3 line, moving from around the 4 line.
The league lowered the mound height. This will impact hitters' scores, but will have a small, if any, effect on pitchers, since the pitcher numbers used are not raw runs allowed or HRA numbers. Hitters get benefits in score from these raw numbers.
ADD: What is cool is that the league can evolve in any manner to any degree and it will not affect the number of pitchers or hitters entering. This can be thought of much in the same way that OOTP bases its output on the league settings, not the abilities of the hitters and pitchers per se. A league of Ruths facing a league of Koufaxes will net the same result as a A league of Duane Kuipers facing a league of Koufaxes. If the league all of a sudden becomes one where 20 runs a game are scored, the hitters will enter at a 2:1 approximate rate over the pitchers. If the league becomes one where 3 runs a game are scored, the hitters will still enter at a 2:1 approximate rate over the pitchers. This is something that is starkly different from how OOTP determines HOF entries.
Last edited by VanillaGorilla; 06-26-2013 at 07:17 AM.
Reason: ADD
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