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JMDurron · 05-16-2013, 11:28 PM

Were all of those players on their historical teams?

Ken Phelps hit 24 HRs in 1984, in only 101 games. That would be roughly 38.5 HRs over 162 games if my math is right, so that 47 becomes slightly more reasonable.

I can't even explain Rich Gedman's real 1984 season, nevermind your version. Maybe if he was in a LHH HR paradise of some kind, but not in Fenway Park.

Gross, like Phelps, would have had ~28 HRs over 162 games, so it's slightly less of a distortion than you'd think at first.

Dave Collins, similarly, had 60 SBs in 128 games IRL. That would be almost 76 over 162, so this doesn't strike me as an anomaly at all, and is within your tolerances.

I find your single-season numbers significantly less compelling as evidence of a problem than VanillaGorilla's career leaders and ERA+/OPS+ discrepancies. Some outliers, even freakish-looking ones, would have to be expected to occur during a completely real replay of any given season. Your results could be the symptom of an underlying issue, or just standard single-season variation, where offense as a whole was above the original 1984 baseline. You basically had 1987 happen in 1984.

05-16-2013, 11:28 PM	#18
JMDurron All Star Starter Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 1,260	Were all of those players on their historical teams? Ken Phelps hit 24 HRs in 1984, in only 101 games. That would be roughly 38.5 HRs over 162 games if my math is right, so that 47 becomes slightly more reasonable. I can't even explain Rich Gedman's real 1984 season, nevermind your version. Maybe if he was in a LHH HR paradise of some kind, but not in Fenway Park. Gross, like Phelps, would have had ~28 HRs over 162 games, so it's slightly less of a distortion than you'd think at first. Dave Collins, similarly, had 60 SBs in 128 games IRL. That would be almost 76 over 162, so this doesn't strike me as an anomaly at all, and is within your tolerances. I find your single-season numbers significantly less compelling as evidence of a problem than VanillaGorilla's career leaders and ERA+/OPS+ discrepancies. Some outliers, even freakish-looking ones, would have to be expected to occur during a completely real replay of any given season. Your results could be the symptom of an underlying issue, or just standard single-season variation, where offense as a whole was above the original 1984 baseline. You basically had 1987 happen in 1984.