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I just checked the batch of prospects that I moved from my international complex to rookie ball, and they have current ratings in the 60's in the editor. I've done this for several seasons now, and the best ones seem to really fly through the minors.
It seems I now have two different strategies for talent, depending on how I acquire them. For draftees, I am more deliberate in promoting them. I try to pay some attention to their HS and college stats. For international prospects, I project them more. I figure out which ones will turn from a $50k hack into a premium prospect IF they develop a little better than normal.
For example, I have been signing 16 year old pitchers that have at least four pitches, with low projected stuff, (30 on a 20-80 scale), average movement (45) but high control (70). If they get a little lucky, and have a big boost to stuff, by the time they turn 20, their projected stuff is a 50. These guys make good MR's. I've gotten really lucky once and had P whose stuff went to 70. He won a Cy Young Award at age 22, doing a Pedro Martinez imitation.
I figure if I hit 1 out of 10 on these sorts of pitchers, I am making bank.
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