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I believe I figured this out. My game date is still in December of 2012.
So if I set the import year to 2012 the ratings seem to be more on par with what you'd expect.
My guess is that OOTP was importing a 2013 year into a 2012 season and since nobody had 2013 stats it was somehow messing up the ratings calculations. Maybe giving everyone a year of zeros that averaged in with their real numbers.
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