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Old 03-12-2013, 08:51 AM   #53
CBL-Commish
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Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Maryland
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hfield007 View Post
I agree a hundred percent with most everything you say. haha. But using hard numbers on years based off of the information gathered is not something I think should be done because given the limited amount of them I don't think it'd properly reflect the odds of hitting one in a given year.

An incremental approach (like I and you have both mentioned) I think is the only reasonable approach. I just was unsure if you were promoting use of hard data each year based off of possibly inaccurate findings.
Ok, I think we're on the same page. I think that if you're doing a deadball historical sim it would be very good to have a park effect setting where you can just eyeball it and set the ISTP% to 20% or whatever. That's an improvement, and gets you close to real-life results. A lot better than 0.5% ISTPers and an unusual number of fast guys hitting lots of 550-ft homers.

There still will (eventually) need to be a way to tie together ISTP% with gap power/HR power/speed, or you'll still get fairly regular 500-ft homers from 5' 4", 140-pound Willie Keelers.
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