Quote:
Originally Posted by CBL-Commish
What? No. Plenty of folks see someone who hit 33 homers last year and assume that's what he's going to do going forward, and most sabermetric stats are quite good at putting into context and evaluating what happened last year.
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Exactly, I totally agree with you and I think you might misunderstood what I mean.
Using your example, you don't need sabermetric to tell you that this player hit 33 HRs, but you do need sabermetric to tell you how much of it is due to luck/ballpark dimension/altitude/whatever so you can have a more accurate idea of what a given ballplayer will do next season