Quote:
Originally Posted by Charlie Hough
What was the prediction for him going into the previous season? And what were his ratings going into the season before he suffered the injury? I'm willing to bet that the predictions are based on ratings and not stats.
If you have AI evaluation turned on, and you have included stats, I suppose they could count for something, but that's for the AI. It doesn't mean that OOTP is going to view it that way for prediction purposes.
My guess is that his stats are not considered at all in the predictions and his ratings were compared to the other hitters in the league. If his ratings are borderline to be in the top 10, then I think this is merely a coincidence.
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I can't remember if he was projected to be amongst the Top 10 Hitters before 2003 (his monster season at age 26). His ratings were:
1/1/2003: vR: 20-15-19-10-20; vL: 18-13-16-8-18
Then, when he suffered his career-ending injury on 3/24/04 his ratings were (age 27):
3/24/2004: vR: 20-15-20-12-20; vL: 18-13-18-10-18
(Keep in mind that our league settings cut ratings off at 20...I could get the Commish to look at his raw ratings if they're still available)
His 2002 stats (age 25) were:
131 G, .281/.335/.484, 21 HR, 66 RBI, 70 R, 5 SB, 19.6 VORP, +1.0 WAR
I do see that my team was predicted to go 92-70 in 2003 (which we did) and then 69-93 in 2004 (which we did).