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DanP68 · 11-17-2012, 08:39 AM

Once a player has established himself with at least 2 seasons at a given level, I tend to weigh the stats more than the scouting. For instance if my Scout is telling me that a batter is a can't-miss prospect and needs to be promoted to the majors, but he has been at AAA for 2 seasons and never had more than a .290 OBA or wOBA, I pretty much know the prospect is a dud and that I shouldn't promote him. Better yet, if the AI seems to love the guy, then I'll shop him for better prospects.

As a personal preference, I rarely promote a guy through the minors unless his statistics show mastery of a given level. I don't care what my Scout says. If a pitcher has a 6 ERA and more walks than strikeouts, I'm not promoting him until he shows real progress in games.

Once a player is at the MLB level for a few seasons, and clearly isn't in a rapid improvement or age decline mode, then I focus on statistical performance more than anything else. I have a second baseman who is rated as a 20 defender (on 1-20 scale), but his ZR over the course of a full season is almost never above +5 to +8. On the other had I have 16 defender in Right Field who routinely has a ZR of +10 to +20. At some point, I just acknowledge that the stats aren't lying and my Scout is not that accurate.

When Scouting is most important is when a player is rapidly improving or falling apart. In your example, you have a 30 year old who puts up good numbers but your Scout thinks he is terrible. Perhaps your Scout is wrong. Or perhaps your Scout is saying, "He may have been good last year, but his skills are eroding fast and you had better sell him off while you can."

In that sense, OOTP mimics real baseball very well. It's a tough decision, and you need to weigh as much info as you can get your hands on.

11-17-2012, 08:39 AM	#2
DanP68 Minors (Double A) Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 151	Once a player has established himself with at least 2 seasons at a given level, I tend to weigh the stats more than the scouting. For instance if my Scout is telling me that a batter is a can't-miss prospect and needs to be promoted to the majors, but he has been at AAA for 2 seasons and never had more than a .290 OBA or wOBA, I pretty much know the prospect is a dud and that I shouldn't promote him. Better yet, if the AI seems to love the guy, then I'll shop him for better prospects. As a personal preference, I rarely promote a guy through the minors unless his statistics show mastery of a given level. I don't care what my Scout says. If a pitcher has a 6 ERA and more walks than strikeouts, I'm not promoting him until he shows real progress in games. Once a player is at the MLB level for a few seasons, and clearly isn't in a rapid improvement or age decline mode, then I focus on statistical performance more than anything else. I have a second baseman who is rated as a 20 defender (on 1-20 scale), but his ZR over the course of a full season is almost never above +5 to +8. On the other had I have 16 defender in Right Field who routinely has a ZR of +10 to +20. At some point, I just acknowledge that the stats aren't lying and my Scout is not that accurate. When Scouting is most important is when a player is rapidly improving or falling apart. In your example, you have a 30 year old who puts up good numbers but your Scout thinks he is terrible. Perhaps your Scout is wrong. Or perhaps your Scout is saying, "He may have been good last year, but his skills are eroding fast and you had better sell him off while you can." In that sense, OOTP mimics real baseball very well. It's a tough decision, and you need to weigh as much info as you can get your hands on.