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I will try to explain my take on this in analogue terms, instead of probability theory terms, so I'm going to use some words in a loose sense.
The "neutral" setting is relative to all slider settings in the league-specific context for that basestealer. If the league itself runs "high" in attempts, then the "neutral" setting may be below the baseline and won't necessarily generate a pre-fixed number of attempts close to the baseline. To make a long story short, if you want to maximize attempts you need to run the sliders all the way to the right, as well as adjusting your manager's strategy sliders to run more. If you want to "neutralize" attempts, setting everything in the middle won't always do it, depending on what else is happening in the league.
That's my view of it. I hope it is clear enough.
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