Quote:
Originally Posted by bradleym1978
Just wondering why ratings change so much and always seam to decrease after one year. I think I finally have a prospect in waiting and ready to trade away my started to start him full time and the next season starts and his ratings have changed and he now only has a 1* instead of a 4* he was supposed to be.
Is there a way to change this from happening.
Also why do prospects never turn into the ratings we drafted them at. Why even put a potential rating if they never become what they are rated at. Makes drafting very difficult.
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When you say his "ratings", it sounds like you are referring to his Potential.
This is dead on accurate in replicating the real world. The reason top prospects are picked early is precisely because the drafting team thought their Potential was off the charts. They wouldn't have been drafted otherwise.
However, lets assume the top 10 picks panned out exactly as planned. That means this year's draft will produce 10 All-Star caliber players. Next year, another 10. And by the third year, another 10. Before you know it, the league is overrun with a mass influx of talent. Who makes your All-Star Team? They can't all be All-Stars.
This is true for any given sport. Take the 1984 NBA draft, which is considered a very good class (considered by many to be the best ever):
1. Hakeem Olajuwan
2. Sam Bowie
3. Michael Jordon
4. Sam Perkins
5. Charles Barkley
.
.
.
16. John Stockton
The reason I picked this year as an example is that it was known that Jordon was going to be a star even when he was in college. Yet scouts thought Sam Bowie was going to be an even bigger star. You think the Trailblazers weren't frustrated watching his potential go from off the charts to merely average? This is one of the best drafts ever, and there were only 4 standout players.
Now look at the 1986 NBA draft. There are NO standout players in that year's draft -- none! Good luck trying to make a case for Brad Daugherty, the #1 pick overall, and the only player in the first round to make an all-star team. In the second round of that year, Mark Price, Dennis Rodman, and Jeff Hornecek all made All-Star teams (great players, but none of these guys by themselves are bringing championships). That means the scouts had to watch as every first round pick's Potential not just dropped, but dropped below the collective level of guys picked in the second round.
So really, in any given year, the draft is going to produce only a
handful good players. And I feel your frustration, but that's how the draft goes.