OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Do players have pre-determined off-day in OOTP?

RonCo · 07-05-2011, 01:06 PM

Assuming your ace gives up a .250 average, as you note, he'll give up three hits in a row 1.5% of the time. So that means in any string of 102 batters, you can expect him to give up a string of three hits 1-2 times. If this ace faces about 34 hitters a game, then it's not too hard to predict that he will give up three hits in a row about every third game. In fact, it would be more unusual if he didn't give up three in a row at that rate than if he did.

07-05-2011, 01:06 PM	#4
RonCo Hall Of Famer Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 10,354	Assuming your ace gives up a .250 average, as you note, he'll give up three hits in a row 1.5% of the time. So that means in any string of 102 batters, you can expect him to give up a string of three hits 1-2 times. If this ace faces about 34 hitters a game, then it's not too hard to predict that he will give up three hits in a row about every third game. In fact, it would be more unusual if he didn't give up three in a row at that rate than if he did. Last edited by RonCo; 07-05-2011 at 01:09 PM.