Quote:
Originally Posted by RchW
I'd like to know if there is a reliable count, not using the DL, of RL MLB injuries in September. I'd expect them to be lower. I think OOTP gives the same weight or probability of injury occurrence each day of the season.
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Non-DL injury counts are a bit arbitrary. Sports Illustrated used to run one, but they'd list day-to-day injuries for players who didn't even need to be pulled from the same game after their "injury". OOTP injuries directly result in missed time or decreased performance, so that type of data doesn't really count for our analysis.
After further consideration, I actually do agree September injuries would be lower, due to roster expansion. From April thru August, 15 players on each team's 40 man roster are playing in minor league games. Most of those 15 players will be seeing significant playing time in the minors and therefore be more likely to suffer an in-game injury. In September, you have a much larger proportion of the 40 man roster all stuffed into the majors; so as a group the 40 man roster is seeing fewer AB's/IP's.
Don't know about the regular season, but OOTP injuries are significantly more frequent during Spring Training (as they should be) so I suspect there's at least a simplistic algorithm for the time of the season.