Quote:
Originally Posted by Henry
If someone had the access and time to look at the win-loss record of tied games going into the bottom of the ninth, that would give us the complete picture.
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What's the point of doing that? You're still using the flawed argument of tied in the bottom of the 9th. OF COURSE the home team has the advantage at that point. Even if the winning pct was 60%-65% in favor of the home team that proves nothing.
At that point in the game, for the rest of the game, the home team has 1 more turn at bat than the visiting team. I don't think anyone is going to argue against you that the home team has the advantage there, but it's only because they'll have more turns at bat, not because they're batting last.
If you're tied going into the top of the 9th or go to extra innings (which is essentially equivalent to tied going into the top of the 9th), both teams have equal number of turns at bat and I would therefore expect a the same winning percentage in that situation as the usual home winning percentage. But fhomess's data shows the percentage is lower than expected. And I really doubt including games tied in the 9th would alter the results.