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Old 04-10-2011, 04:17 PM   #8
andreglenn
Bat Boy
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 14
Ah, that makes sense. Ratings....That's why I posted this item in the first place. I figured that this phenomenon might be something that other people had encountered before and would have some useful insight on.

Yes, it would make sense that a player would perform better (or worse) than expected due to how his Ratings are set. (In addition to the normal randomness that makes someone perform slightly better or worse in simulations. That's why we run multiple sims and take the average. My Duh)

Since Harry performed similarly in 1923 (though in 124 ABs as opposed to the 198 ABs in my 1927 sim), maybe it truly is just a case of Harry having a very good year.

Either way, my intention was not to make this big a deal out of this.

As requested by RchW, here's Harry, Lou Gehrig, Paul Waner, and Rogers Hornsby. The first three are having very good years and have similar ratings for Contact and Gap. Hornsby is having a terrible year, hitting .276 when he hit .361 in reality. The only thing of note is that his Gap rating is slighty lower than that of those other three guys.

FYI, Rogers hit .403 in 1925, .317 in 1926, and .387 in 1928. So maybe this .276 number in the 1927 Sim is in line with his 1926 performance as opposed to his actual 1927 performance and the other surrounding years.


Thanks everyone...

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