Quote:
Originally Posted by waltwa
Lots of great info- much more than i expected. So has the question been answered?
In ootp and in 2010 0r 11 does it make sense to use a 4 man rotation?
We won't get fired if a sp goes down due to overwork. But do the results of eliminating the 5th sp make sense to go with a 4 man rotation or does the ootp game penalize you for using 1 less pitcher.
|
My current opinion:
OOTP "penalizes" teams for 4-man rotations, but it's much like a poker game. It's no guarantee your pitchers will be hurt in a 4-man. Several factors seem to play into it--age of your pitchers, their durability, how you set your pitch counts and where you set your "hook starters" all affect the probability your pitchers will be abused or get hurt through that abuse. And, of course, some pitchers get hurt either way.
But, after all this, it's currently my opinion that in most "routine" cases in OOTP if you're running a 4-man rotation you're increasing the possibility of injuring your pitchers...and to some degree you're _probably_ lowering their effectiveness a bit.
It still may be a great play, though ... or not.
If there's a wide variance between your top 4 and any 5th you can find, then the performance benefit of staying with 4 may well outweigh the risk factors.
In other words--I don't know if it's a perfect model or not, but I think the game's set-up seems to make managers face the same quandry that real-life GMs and managers face. You set your course, you rolls your dice, and you takes your chances. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, and sometimes it rains.