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Old 06-08-2010, 12:40 PM   #2
fintach
Major Leagues
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 484
Players make a huge difference, but there is also a certain amount of randomness.

Let me explain it this way -- there is a customizable setup that organizes the random factors. For example, every player's general performance in each opportunity (at bat, batter faced, fielding chance, etc.) weights different attributes of a player based on a customizable formula in the setup:

(I'm going off of what I remember here, but you can find the details in the online manual, on this site)
Ratings A%
Current Year Statistics: B%
Previous Year's Statistics: C%
Last Two Years' Statistics: D%

Chance of Success = A%+B%+C%+D%

That's shorthand, though, because the pitcher, batter and relevant fielder will all factor into it (at the least).

This is a fairly long and definitely incomplete explanation, but the point is there -- luck is a factor, but having high-quality players will be more likely to bring success. That said, anyone can have a good year or a bad year. For example, in my 1977 league, Duane Kuiper (who "should" be hitting around .280 or .290) is leading the league in hitting at over .350. On the other hand, Bill Madlock (who should be hitting .320 or so) is mired at around .245.
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