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I think it's based on your overall ability, perhaps the average of all your OVR ratings, at the time he makes the prediction (and probably some variation on personality and recent history)
I went from play .500 ball to Win the Championship! In one year, which shocked the heck out of me.
But, sure enough, we won it all and won 105 games in the regular season. For a while it looked bad and he got mad.
It seems, somehow, that the owner knows pretty well because it always seems he's close to right about how my team turns out - Granted, I'm only in my 5th season in my solo league.
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