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I'm surprised nobody has mentioned this, but OOTP isn't a particularly good 'replay' game. Stats won't be all that close for individual players more often than not. The league numbers will be close by the end of the season (or should be), but a guy who hit .335 in real life might hit .295 one season in OOTP and then .360 the next, then .330, etc.
Look at their ratings and not their real life statistics. Look at your opponents and their ratings, as well as defense and park ratings. Some of it is luck, most of it is that OOTP just isn't built to ensure that McGee hits .353 in 1985.
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