Quote:
Knock,
Did you see Rons reply above. Is that what you are suggesting taking a variable BABIP off the pitchers stats over that variable off the leagues BABIP?
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Not yet. I'd like to do a lot more tests. I'm not attacking OOTP. I'm just asking questions, ya know? I don't think I know enough about OOTP's BABIP program, yet.
I'd like to know that OOTP does two things:
1. Does a pretty good job of modeling league wide BABIP variance.
2. Gives BABIP defenses the right balance of influence over pitchers.
What if the situation is this? If you're San Diego with a bad defense, is it
pointless to go after even league aces like Messersmith
until you build a defense that can give him a good BABIP, thus elevating him to a good pitcher. It seems that was the case in my sims.
San Diego troubled me because Messersmith's other numbers (HRs, Ks, BBs) were pretty spot on. . So, apparently, the randomness didn't affect those numbers. Then, is it defense, or randomness, that blew up Messersmith's BABIP numbers over and over again in San Diego?
Again, this is an issue that would affect fictionals, too.
I probably won't be posting for a few days, just as a heads-up.