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You know in the game who has a good defense and who doesn't. You don't know in real life who had a good defense and who didn't.
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My bad. Misread that. But the OOTP defense is what I'm talking about. I was talking about how this BABIP issue affects even fictional teams. In other words, even if team defense imports are wrong, the BABIP tweak might create better pitcher results.
One thing: My IMPRESSION is that 40 or 50 point swings is very normal for OOTP. One or two examples of real life swings like that isn't my issue. It's whether 2%, or 10%, or 40% of pitchers regularly experience such severe swings.
I could ask you to show me what percentage of pitchers today have suffered from such swings year to year, but that's the head-ache I've been trying to soothe. I won't burden you with it. But, such research is pretty daunting, especially when you then must go through OOTP seasons to compare with your real life findings.
PS. Can you expand on this?
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You don't know in real life who had a good defense and who didn't
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I would say we've got a pretty good idea who had a good D and who didn't in 1974. Are you saying the stats aren't accurate enough? I'm trying not to put words into your mouth. But, it was a surprising comment.