Quote:
Originally Posted by knockahoma
It's inference, you're right. I look at the end results. Let's say you run the Messersmith test 30 times.
If Messersmith has 25 good seasons in 30 as a Dodger, but 25 bad seasons out of 30 as a Tiger, what are our options? His Ks, BBs, HRs, remain pretty constant. Only his BABIP varies widely from LA to Detroit.
The inferences?
*BABIP in OOTP truly is tied strongly to defense. That explains why Messersmith is a stud BABIP in LA, and sucks in Detroit.
* BABIP in OOTP in NOT strongly tied to defense. The Virtual Messersmith just gets slammed with bad luck in Detroit, sim after sim after sim.
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We already know the answer to that. BABIP in OOTP is strongly correlated to defense, just like it is in real life.