Quote:
Originally Posted by knockahoma
So, I wondered. If BABIP is largely defense and luck, what are the odds to get readings like that over four seasons?
|
The odds are very good that some pitcher, somewhere, would have consistent BABIP over four seasons.
We wouldn't be having this discussion if someone hadn't looked at what you're looking at.
If the data didn't support the conclusion that most pitchers cannot control BABIP most of the time, then BABIP would never have been controversial -- and we probably wouldn't be talking about it -- because it would have supported conventional wisdom.
The odds of any given pitcher having consistent BABIP might be low, while the odds of some pitcher, somewhere, having consistent BABIP through random chance are high.