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Assumption: We want AI teams to have "personalities" or "plans" so that their trading will make more sense.
To illustrate the problem with this approach another way: We're all pretty enlighten baseball fans around here; we understand what OPS and WARP are, and we think that we know what is best for EVERY team in MLB right now. But how many teams in MLB right now would you say recognize what best for themselves? How may current MLB teams would you say have a good plan or a recognizable personality?
I'll try to put together a list, along with what I think they're easily recognizable "plan" or "personality" is:
1. Yankees: If it's good, it must be expensive. If it's expensive, it must be good. We want to be good. Ergo, we want to acquire everything expensive.
2. A's: Pitch counts and college arms for pitching; working counts and power for hitting.
3. Indians: Acquire as many talents that will be ready in 2005 as possible. Discard everything that won't help us win in 2005.
4. Twins: Win now with the talent we've developed from within before they get too expensive to keep.
5. Angels: make contact, make contact, make contact, and play defense. (I'm not even sure this counts, but)
6. Giants: put together as solid a supporting cast as possible for Bonds for around $65m.
7. Padres: See Indians, as related to their new ballpark, but not to such an extreme.
8. Atlanta: pitching, pitching, pitching, and two doses of Leo Mazzone.
That's eight teams out of 32 in real MLB that I would say have a readily identifiable personality that permeates their organization and guides everything they do. And yes, I'm sure that someone with more local knowledge than me will claim that there local team has some plan or personality; I just get all my information from Baseball Prospectus 2003, and you're probably more right than I am.
But somewhere around 24 of 32 teams just muddle along and hope they get lucky, at least that's how I see it. I just think any discussion of "personalities" for AI teams in OOTP needs to take into consideration the amazing shifting priorities of two-thirds of the teams on any given day.
Your thoughts?
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