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If you want to get more precise than the examples above, you have to remove randomness from the equations.
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And that defeats the object.
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But, randomness exists within STRAT and Diamond Mind.
I think the general consensus is that those two are better historical "replays". To me, since OOTP has ventured into the historical replay arena, why not aim at matching what those two companies can do? Of course, it would be important that the user can "dial down" the replay if he wants more variation.
Is that do-able with OOTP's engine? I'm guessing it is. It appears that STRAT and Diamond Mind's advantage comes from better player information. That's why I suggested to reach the next level in historical replay OOTP would need more than the Lahman database.
I'd never really looked at Diamond Mind until this past week. I can tell you that the developer's over there see the possibilities of a top-notch replay with the ability to dial down into more variation. You can now edit and create players in particular seasons, thereby creating your own fictional league.
I really appreciate OOTP innovation, lay-out and options. But, as this thread proves with SIV, a few others and myself, there's money to be made, or lost, on the historical aspect.
I just think Marcus has an advantageous lead on the perfect blend. I'd like to see him win the competition, cuz it's coming.