Quote:
Originally posted by SkyDog
sixfour:
I hear what you're saying, but keep it mind that it really isn't automatic that A-Rod will be a star at age 36 even if he doesn't get injured. Look at Dale Murphy. Murph wasn't just another good player. He was arguably the best player in the game at one time. He is one of only 10 or 12 guys in the history of the award to win back-to-back MVP's. The six seasons he had from age 26-31 were magnificent. However, without any injury, he went from .294-44-105 at age 31 to .226-24-77 at age 32, and he never had another season any better than that. If it wasn't for that 38-year-old freak of nature by the bay, A-Rod would be, like Murphy, arguably considered to be the best player in the game today. All I am saying it that it is POSSIBLE that he could have a Murphy-esque inexplicable drop-off. It has happened before to one of the best in the game, and it can surely happen again.
OOTP5 should have SOME superstars who have a slow decline over time (and I've seen some), but there should clearly also be some superstars who just drop off the table in their early 30's. There should also be some Mike Schmidt's--a very productive superstar into his mid 30's--then a one-year complete drop off the table. There should be some Greg Luzinski's--big-time power hitters for just a few seasons who lose it early. There should be some Palmeiros--guys who don't really find their power stroke until after age 30, and keep it almost to age 40. There should be some Hank Aaron's--7 30+ homer seasons before age 30, and 7 30+ homer seasons after age 30.
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#1 Dale Murphy only had 128 HR at ARod's age.
#2 Players suffering career altering injuries is fine and obviously happens in real life. I never said anything about decline due to injury, like Murphy. But sudden decline is unrealistic.
#3 No one in ootp has a realistic slow decline in ootp. It is always over 1 or 2 seasons. A good example of a slow decline and a generally great aging curve would be the High Heat series. A lot of players retire with respectable numbers and some players play well into their 40s. It's great.
#4 I think Luzinski didn't perform well becasue he didn't play everyday. I don't know much about him so I don't know if this was due to injury or what but players coming off the bench generally perform worse than if they were playing everyday. If you note that in '82 and '83, his production increased once again when he started to get more playing time.
#5 Aaron would never hit 755 HR in a replay in ootp. He wouldn't even come close. Even if you started him in his best year and simmed the rest, he still wouldn't because he would end his career too early. This would happen to Ruth also. In fact, I'm going to perform a little test and post the results here with both Ruth and Aaron.