Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweed
I agree with most of this post but never is a very strong word.
I think Vince Coleman or Ricky Henderson would tend to disagree with never steal third with no outs. I use the 20 scale for player ratings and if the AI had a 20\20 speed\stealing rated player I wouldn't have a problem with it trying to swipe a base in almost any situation as long as it wasn't an automatic 100% he's going thing.
In my current career I have a perennial steal leader that isn't even rated 20/20 and I have no problem anytime the AI sends him. Off the top of my head he's probably a 20/18 or at least in that neighborhood. I would like the AI to recognize it has a once in a generation player (the 20/20 type) and use him.
So instead of never maybe have the AI go with never for anyone below a certain speed\steal rating and the guys with 20-speed/20-steal no special restrictions and maybe prorate down to guys with a 17 steal rating going very rarely. Perhaps only against low rated throwing catchers and pitchers that don't hold runners well.
This is a case though where hard data could probably be found to support your "never" option or reveal what real MLB tendencies have been in these steal situations. I'm sure it's a very limited chance of players attempting steals in your example and Coleman and Henderson are extreme outliers in the history of MLB, the OOTP 20/20 type player that FWIW, in my dynasty, I don't think I've had.
Not trying to knock your ideas just that word never tends to bother me.
Now, maybe the AI cannot be made to take into account the 20/20 Coleman-Henderson, once in a million type player. Or maybe it's too hard to code or not worth the effort? I don't know I'm not a programmer.
If the AI cannot do this and the choice is to stay with the current system or go to "never", than I would go with never. It's the more realistic of the two choices.
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Obviously,there are exceptions to the rule,I mean the players you mentioned are two of the best base stealers in the history of baseball so maybe they get a pass but 99% of the time its a terrible idea to try to steal third with no outs when a base hit will score them from second anyway.Hell,two groundballs and they'll score.In general there's a 50% chance that you'll be thrown out on a steal attempt,making it a sketchy proposition at best.