Quote:
Originally Posted by thehef
Thanks for the reply...
What is the known problem? Is there a thread for it?
Does the known problem include the situation where multiple supposedly equal levels of minors (in my case, 3 AAA leagues) would - in relation to major-league totals - be fine (my amer assoc), ok (my I.L.), and not close (my PCL)?
Given my numbers (batting avgs) above, any suggestions on which modifiers to tweak & how much, for each league? As I said, testing takes a long time & I'd rather not do a ton of it... And do you think I could tweak these numbers just once (maybe just before or after the first season), and then they'll adjust automatically and likely be ok moving forward?
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You can't adjust anything unless you have a baseline era and then some results. I think Isura is doing that, I haven't read his mod post in detail yet.
I use 2007 data for my MLB and for the minors. The minor league data (see
Minor League Baseball Statistics and History - Baseball-Reference.com) is incomplete so I decided to use MLB data for stuff like passed balls and wild pitches and set it up in proportion to the league size ie 12/30 for a 12 team minor league. This isn't perfect but its close enough for less important stats.
Once I had totals for the minors I normalized them to OOTP. Minor league totals in OOTP are high because there are no rainouts, no 7 inning double headers and no lost games (yes there are missing games). I normalize each minor league set of league totals to the number of AB in real life in 2007.
I set up a spread sheet to compare my baseline league totals to the game results each season and generate a modifier. Each off season I do this again (tedious) and adjust the modifier. For the minors some of the modifiers are huge, like 6.7 for HR in the Florida league.
It takes 3-4 seasons to titrate the swings in league totals as your initial modifier may overshoot or not make the desired total. I also tweak modifiers from time to time to generate more or less homeruns or steals etc.
See the attached spreadsheet. Please don't laugh, I'm not a pro at this stuff.
So far I'm extremely happy with this method. Results are so close that I don't change the modifiers every season any more. The game seems to have a natural fluctuation of 3-5%. If I want more or less than that I change the modifiers.
It would be really nice if we could enter league totals and modifiers into a csv file and have that picked up by the game. That would make the whole exercise easier.