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Old 11-12-2008, 02:21 AM   #1
thehef
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,382
majors fine, but inaccurate minors totals

I started a historical sim in 1901, using the Mod Garlon/Spritze neutralized db. I have Majors, of course, plus three 8-team Triple-A leagues, a 32-team Double A league, and a 40-team Single A league. The minors are filled with fictional players who are not allowed to reach the majors, and a small number of historical players.

Before actually starting, I ran a 22-year test (no trades, all teams AI-controlled) and found that – other than the first year, where the league batting averages & ERA’s were too low – the majors avg & ERA followed history quite well. However, most of the minors are way off:

Am Assoc (AAA) – Fine, pretty much mirrors the majors
Int’l Lg (AAA) – OK, but lg avg typically about 10-20 lower than Am Assoc & majors
PCL (AAA) – league avg about .200-.220 from ’01 thru ’15. Creeped up to the .250’s and .260’s in ’20 thru ’22, but still about .010 lower than I.L. and .020-.030 lower then Am Assoc & majors
Nat’l Assoc (AA) – Under .220 every year until ’20 (.231). Up to mid-.240’s in ’21 & ’22.
Cont’l Lg (A) - .226 1st year, then not higher than .211 until ’20. In fact there were seven straight yrs under .200. Finally reached mid-.230’s in ’21 & ’22.

Not sure which of these are relevant, but here are my settings:

OPTIONS:
Auto-adjust league strategy
Recalc each year, based on 3-yr
Auto-adjust league totals modifiers after each yr for historical accuracy
Block fictional players from majors

STRATEGY:
I used import settings for 1901 at start-up
Auto-adjust league totals modifiers after each yr for historical accuracy
Auto-import historical player-creation modifiers
No changes to any of the modifiers, etc. on the Strategy tab

I did not change any of these setting, majors vs. minors.

Obviously, I’d like to have minors with somewhat realistic stats. I'm fine with the difference between the majors (& Am Assoc) and the Int'l Lg, but the other leagues - where avg's are hovering around .200 most years, are too far out of whack... Any ideas what is wrong & why two of the AAA leagues are ok while the third AAA and the lower minors aren’t? Are there posts out there that deal with this?

I’m hoping the answer isn’t to tweak modifiers and test & test, because that sounds like a whole lot of non-baseball-related statistical analysis and time-consuming testing. That’s not why I’m playing the game.

Thanks in advance.
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