Quote:
Originally Posted by ctorg
Personally, I think just using the staff ERA from the previous season (or major league equivalent ERA for rookies) would be a more accurate predictor than the method given. Not that I think staff ERA from the previous year is a great measure, but just about anything is better than the arbitrary one used.
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I'm going to run an experiment.
Like most of us, I have a league running. So I'm going to quantify all pitching staffs using both the SI method and staff ERA and see which one ends up as a better predictor of overall pitching staff performance. Should be interesting.
Two things. First, everyone seems to have a visceral reaction to anything subjective. That's very good at one level, but when we have to rank things that can't be counted or calculated, that's bad. Second, we need better predictive tools than the ones we have.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Markus Heinsohn
Well, the average OOTP user...downloads the game, manages his favorite team and that's it.
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According to OOTP itself, OOTP MLB play (modern and historical) outnumbers OOTP fictional play three to one.
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