Quote:
Originally Posted by darkhorse
Wang induces a ton of groundballs. If the D keeps making plays behind him, he can be successful without lots of K's.
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But I thought that a simplistic basis of DIPS was that, if the outcome of an AB was a Ball In Play, then one can expect BABIP to even out, so GB% isn't anywhere near as important as Ks, BBs, and HRs in determining future projections.
I realise that DIPS has been discussed and refined since this original theory, but I believe the central concept remains true, doesn't it? Obviously high GB% is going to keep down the HRs, but with low K numbers, he's going to have either a lot of BBs or a lot of BIPs, so can expect his ERA to move
towards the league average in future years?