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Old 06-19-2007, 09:42 AM   #22
CBL-Commish
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Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Maryland
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Quote:
Originally Posted by endgame View Post
So the guy's in a new league. How does his OVR compare in the new league to his (your) old league? Are the equivalencies the same?
The indy league has very small MLEs. I don't remember exactly, but it was set up to be of rookie-league level, so maybe 0.6s or so. His prior league was 1.0.

Quote:
In addition, I have to favor sample size here coupled with the fact that his movement and control ratings do not, theoretically, support his high stuff. To me, it's not unlike having a power hitter with 80 and an Avoid Strikeout and Eye at 25 and 30. He's going to have his rough times and probably tear up some streaks as well, balancing out a bit more as time progresses.

And when all else fails, there's room for a bit of imaginative color. You threw this guy into a fit of despair, and now he has no confidence in his ability at all. He'll never be the same again and it's all your fault.
I'll explain away a lot with crazy stories, but I find it difficult here. I see this guy as someone who has a 102 mph, straight fastball, and little else. In the majors he did have his rough spots - he was run out of the league with an 8.00+ ERA in '06. But he still struck out a ton of batters. It just doesn't make sense that he could be, essentially, demoted from the majors to the Appy League and see his Ks fall from 13 per nine to 0 (well, except for that one game where he K'd 10).
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