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Old 11-05-2006, 09:31 AM   #7354
Sdpm100
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A mathematical equation that is also used to predict a team's record is of course Pythagoras' theorem.

Now soccer isn't the easiest of sports to use it with, because there are three results possible.
A way to get around that is to work out the average number of points per game.

So here is how the current Premier League table looks based on Pythagorean record:

Code:
			P	F	A	Pts	Pct.	Pyt. %	Exp. Pts.
Manchester United	11	26	5	28	0.848	0.943	28
Chelsea			10	17	5	25	0.833	0.889	24
Arsenal			9	16	5	18	0.667	0.878	22
Portsmouth		11	16	9	19	0.576	0.727	22
Everton			11	16	10	17	0.515	0.690	21
Aston Villa		10	12	9	15	0.500	0.620	17
Liverpool		11	14	12	17	0.515	0.565	17
Wigan Athletic		10	13	11	14	0.467	0.571	16
Bolton Wanderers	11	10	9	20	0.606	0.545	16
Fulham			11	12	15	16	0.485	0.406	12
Blackburn Rovers	10	10	13	12	0.400	0.390	11
Watford			11	9	13	9	0.273	0.349	11
Reading			11	10	17	13	0.394	0.289	9
Tottenham Hotspur	10	6	10	12	0.400	0.296	8
West Ham United		10	8	14	8	0.267	0.279	8
Middlesbrough		11	9	16	11	0.333	0.273	8
Manchester City		11	7	14	12	0.364	0.235	7
Newcastle United	11	7	14	8	0.242	0.235	7
Charlton Athletic	11	7	15	8	0.242	0.215	6
Sheffield United	11	5	14	9	0.273	0.148	4
(Things to note. 1 - the quotient I used in the formula is 1.7 (unlike the original 2.0) which is based off analysing winning margins for this season so far. And 2 - the expected points is based on the current points per game average of 2.745.)

Interesting thing to note is that Arsenal and Everton are the main underachievers (-4 points on the expected total), whilst Manchester City and Sheffield United are the biggest overachievers (+5 points on the expected).
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