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Originally Posted by The Professor
Yeah, that is a good counterpoint and I didn't really think about Carp's pitching performance at Busch. Yeah, I'd buy that.
I guess my angle was that if Game Five's starter falters, you'd want your strongest two arms on the mound in New York. If you get a gem and a win from Weaver, having Carp and Suppan ready to go is pretty fair odds in your favor. If Weaver were to blow it, you've still got your best arms going in games you've got to win. Barring the assumption that the Cards cannot win two games at Shea (if they can win one, why not two more?) a part of me would rather see them take their chances in Game Five with the assumption that Games Six and Seven are the critical matchups. If Carp were to go in Game Five and somehow lose it, I don't like the team's chances with Weaver having to save the season at Shea (despite his Game One performance). I'd rather have Carp in that situation.
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I can see both sides. My point about them winning at Shea is, yes they won one, but if they lose game 5, you're basically banking your hopes that St. Louis can win 3 of 4 games in the Series at Shea. I just don't see that happening. They can, however, absolutely split, which is why I think game 5 is huge for them (and, thus, why I'd start Carpenter.)
We'll see what LaRussa does. As for NY, people are already going crazy that, basically, anybody but Trachsel should pitch Game 7. Oliver, Perez, Sid Fernandez...anybody but Trachsel.
I can't say I disagree. That wasn't a rough outing, that was a dismemberment. You don't ask him to pitch Game 7 on the heels of that.
GH