[GForce]

Originally Posted by dsvitak

Bottom line is that the Cardinals will potentially have Carpenter for 3 of the 7 starts.....42%.

So you're reduced to praying for rain. Gotcha.

Carpenter for three starts, and Suppan for the other two will be DAMNED difficult to beat.

This season, Suppan faced the Mets once...4 runs in 6.2 IP, 5.40 ERA. Wasn't DAMNED difficult to beat that night.

107 AB, not 94. Include the 13 walks. Either way, .181 speaks for itself

Yes, based on guys with 10-15 ABs per against that pitcher. That is statistically INSIGNIFICANT. You can tell a lot about Jose Reyes' 3 ABs against Carpenter, or Delgado's 3 against him.

I realize you neglected to address this, putting your hands over your ears in "I can't hear you" mode, but the "bottom line" is that your matchups are based on such a small sample size that they are completely meaningless.

BTW, walks aren't ABs. And either is far from the 200 you proclaimed earlier. Your already irrelevant data was made half as relevant.

and the 1.75 WHIP for Perez, and the 1.60 WHIP for Trachsel.

You said earlier a .232 average against Suppan by the Mets was such a plus (yes, you corrected it to .223 later, but you were still so sure it was a positive when it was .232). I pointed out the Cards avg versus Trachsel is .237. But you chose to neglect that, because it didn't support the rest of your silly contentions. So in his case, you reverted to full-season WHIP. Which is it? Are we going with full-season data or head to head?

Because in either case, the real BOTTOM LINE is

Full season: Mets had the better record
Head-to-head: Mets had the better record

This season, Suppan faced the Mets once...4 runs in 6.2 IP, 5.40 ERA. Weaver faced the Mets once...no decision, giving up 4 runs in 5 IP, 7.20 ERA
Tyler Johnson 1.71 WHIP vs. the Mets

This season, Oliver Perez posted a 4.82 ERA against the Cards...guess they had a harder time with Perez than the Mets have with either Suppan or Weaver.

I mean, if we're going to throw out statistically meaningless data, let's at least keep it current.

Your earlier point was your best one. Pray for another day of rain to start Carpenter 3 times. It's your best shot.

GH