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Regarding the distribution of big Hr hitters (fictional players created using the PCM's):
OOTP creates a distribution of great Hr hittes based on modern day distributions. In modern baseball the league HR% from 2005 was 3%, which translates to the average batter ending up with about 17 Hrs per 550 AB. Modern league leaders are around 50 Hrs for the season in roughly the same number of AB's or essentially 3x more often than what the average player does. So when OOTP creates a great HR hitter his power is about 3x better than th average player in the league. Now when you go back to the 1920's and 1930's you can expect that the league leader in Hrs wil be about 3x better than the average player. Now, the 1920's Hr% was about 1.2%, so you can expect the big HR hitters to hit about 3.6% HRs, or about 19 Hrs per 550 AB. In th 1930's the league HR% was about 1.5% so you can expect the league leaders to be around 4.5% Hrs or about 25 Hrs per 550 AB. The disparity between the great hitters and average players of that time are greater than the disparity between the great hitters and average players of today. Your Gehrig's, Greenberg's, and Foxx's of the day only made up about 1% of the players in the league. In modern baeball if the league leader hits 50 Hrs there will also be many players in the league who hit at least 25 Hrs, whereas in the 1920's and 1930's if the league leader hit 40 Hrs there were probably only a couple players with more than half that many.
Last edited by Garlon; 07-15-2006 at 09:32 PM.
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