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Zeyes · 07-07-2006, 12:44 PM

I've simmed ahead to 2025 now, and for kicks I checked how many new free agents were created as the off-season started: 26 pitchers, and only 6 position players (a C, three 1B, a 3B, and a LF/CF).

FWIW, on the same day, there were 21 retirements: 16 pitchers, and 5 position players (two corner OF, a C/1B, a pure 1B whose last position inexplicably is set to Catcher, and a middle IF).

All of these 5 guys were between 33 and 35 years old, and had been under contract (no surprise; there's nobody else available) - two of them didn't even play a single game though. One had a cup of coffee that placed him barely above replacement level, another guy got only a handful of at-bats in which he had an OPS under .400, and the final guy was a regular player but also had a miserable OPS of below .600 in his last season. So basically, it's only the total scrubs and half-dead guys who are retiring, which makes sense given that there's nobody to replace them.

Four of these five guys had managed to amass a significantly negative career VORP, but even though they sucked they'd all managed to find gainful employment for 10+ years and get at-bats. The fifth guy actually had a decent career (3x All-Star, 2x Gold Glove), but his ratings had tumbled in the last year, so that's the only retirement that probably would have happened at this point in time in a non-messed-up league as well.

Not so surprisingly, this league again has turned into a pitcher's league, at least compared to the hitter's paradise it used to be:

2006-2010 ERA: 5.48, AVG: .288
2011-2015 ERA: 5.31, AVG: .287
2016-2020 ERA: 4.83, AVG: .278
2021-2025 ERA: 4.50, AVG: .270

What's interesting is that the hitters still aren't that much older than the pitchers...125 hitters total - six are 40+ years old, another four are 35+, and then thirty-five are 30+. I have a feeling the original poster's league suffered even more severe anomalies than mine does.

On to 2045...

07-07-2006, 12:44 PM	#14
Zeyes All Star Reserve Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 818	I've simmed ahead to 2025 now, and for kicks I checked how many new free agents were created as the off-season started: 26 pitchers, and only 6 position players (a C, three 1B, a 3B, and a LF/CF). FWIW, on the same day, there were 21 retirements: 16 pitchers, and 5 position players (two corner OF, a C/1B, a pure 1B whose last position inexplicably is set to Catcher, and a middle IF). All of these 5 guys were between 33 and 35 years old, and had been under contract (no surprise; there's nobody else available) - two of them didn't even play a single game though. One had a cup of coffee that placed him barely above replacement level, another guy got only a handful of at-bats in which he had an OPS under .400, and the final guy was a regular player but also had a miserable OPS of below .600 in his last season. So basically, it's only the total scrubs and half-dead guys who are retiring, which makes sense given that there's nobody to replace them. Four of these five guys had managed to amass a significantly negative career VORP, but even though they sucked they'd all managed to find gainful employment for 10+ years and get at-bats. The fifth guy actually had a decent career (3x All-Star, 2x Gold Glove), but his ratings had tumbled in the last year, so that's the only retirement that probably would have happened at this point in time in a non-messed-up league as well. Not so surprisingly, this league again has turned into a pitcher's league, at least compared to the hitter's paradise it used to be: 2006-2010 ERA: 5.48, AVG: .288 2011-2015 ERA: 5.31, AVG: .287 2016-2020 ERA: 4.83, AVG: .278 2021-2025 ERA: 4.50, AVG: .270 What's interesting is that the hitters still aren't that much older than the pitchers...125 hitters total - six are 40+ years old, another four are 35+, and then thirty-five are 30+. I have a feeling the original poster's league suffered even more severe anomalies than mine does. On to 2045... Last edited by Zeyes; 07-07-2006 at 12:49 PM.